Apartment Construction Surge Levels Off After Two-Year Boom

Article originally posted on Globe St. on October 9, 2025

After years of staying below a longstanding ceiling for new apartment supply, the U.S. multifamily market surged past it — and then, just as quickly, began losing momentum.

Since 2020, quarterly completions had been capped at around 100,000 units, a threshold that was never reached through early 2023. Then, in the second quarter of 2023, deliveries broke through for the first time since RealPage Market Analytics began tracking the sector in the 1990s. That milestone set off a run of growth that lasted 10 straight months, with every quarter exceeding 100,000 units. By the third quarter of 2025, completions totaled 105,525 units.

From Q2 2023 through Q4 2024, quarterly supply not only stayed above the 100,000 mark but also logged consistent year-over-year increases, according to RealPage. There was also a steady quarter-over-quarter climb through Q3 2024. But in 2025, the trend reversed sharply. Q4 2024 completions fell from Q3 levels, Q1 2025 dropped again and Q2 sank further. Meanwhile, Q3 2025 saw a modest uptick from the previous three months but failed to approach the peaks of the previous year.

Regionally, the South has continued to dominate new supply, accounting for 53,410 units in Q3 2025 — more than half the national total. Still, the slowdown there has been the most pronounced. Deliveries in the South reached 92,100 units in Q3 2024, then declined every quarter since. The West followed a similar trajectory, peaking that same quarter at 37,400 units and sliding to about 25,000 in Q2 2025, then rising slightly to 26,900 in Q3. In the Midwest, the third quarter brought just 12,100 new units, below the region’s ten-year average. The Northeast delivered 13,100 units.

Three metro markets topped the list for new supply in Q3 2025: Phoenix, New York and Dallas, each surpassing 6,000 units between July and September.

Even as completions remain elevated compared to pre-2023 levels, industry experts have long warned that rising inventory would pressure vacancy rates and rent growth. That pressure is now showing in the numbers. Monthly rents are falling in several markets, with Boston and the Midwest experiencing the steepest declines, according to Yardi Matrix. Of the top 30 metros surveyed, rents slipped in 16 of them.

Yardi’s data also pointed to factors beyond construction volumes. Some markets with limited pipeline growth are still seeing rents fall, reflecting signals of broader market softness. Analysts cited reduced demand, demographic shifts and macroeconomic challenges among the drivers impacting apartment pricing.

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